Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 156.950804 185.614183 220.791141 268.110615 331.696723 4.167241e+02 543.837436
2024-12-15 120.222005 153.669475 200.045976 272.477798 390.206677 5.908947e+02 1010.070027
2024-12-22 97.469559 130.134260 178.747588 262.071914 416.254086 7.330184e+02 1634.054632
2024-12-29 88.162438 122.492351 177.091036 279.692524 497.675398 1.057228e+03 3568.675435
2025-01-05 76.874312 109.290248 162.897345 269.485912 517.343758 1.265361e+03 6395.490553
2025-01-12 69.947890 101.697879 156.274300 271.245141 565.927686 1.643744e+03 16258.411616
2025-01-19 63.627799 94.075337 147.971674 266.752900 596.509241 2.032408e+03 52938.000433
2025-01-26 61.505834 93.209728 151.839895 290.356568 728.399424 3.371248e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 61.171858 95.368535 161.931533 333.140798 976.866110 7.705512e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 57.013980 89.938918 155.424965 330.227839 1042.908485 1.137870e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 54.059443 86.417039 152.374467 336.197873 1163.648351 2.093521e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 51.141679 82.634004 148.126049 337.338528 1266.354830 4.103491e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 47.987065 78.393900 142.951495 336.684321 1384.223846 1.180967e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 45.369307 75.000743 139.344603 340.766817 1560.978622 1.671200e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 42.120200 69.996438 131.140602 326.254975 1573.934789 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 41.061576 69.353051 133.381351 350.573642 2019.599376 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 38.441695 65.190841 126.206268 336.448517 2035.386217 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 36.759063 62.859279 123.373286 338.877040 2283.820974 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 34.909007 60.009275 118.807847 332.680259 2412.428316 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 34.570232 60.381864 122.790389 365.414849 3415.168133 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 34.899352 62.254312 131.264012 425.824016 6139.093209 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 33.416695 59.894291 127.343004 421.668161 6852.958728 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 32.357523 58.419897 125.809847 430.192113 8574.972660 NaN NaN